Clearing data – 5 days after JCQ results day

It is too early to see the impact of Monday afternoon's U turn in the UCAS data.

(In England, at least. Around 10 students were placed through UCAS adjustment in Scotland last night, up from zero…)

Applicant status – five days after JCQ results

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We won’t see much serious movement until the formal revised (CAG) results are fed to providers via UCAS, although from tomorrow we might be able to see a lead indicator from those applicants who have managed to convince their provider to accept a CAG authorised by their school. We won’t see pre-emptive movement of applicants between categories, as only applicants themselves can accept (or decline – via self-release) an offer.

As I understand it, UCAS will receive revised results from tomorrow, though I don’t yet know when these will be available to providers as this will depend on a number of internal processes.

So what we see now is a picture of a system that is not too far off what we would have expected had 2020 been a “normal” cycle. The number of applicants placed on their firm choice course is up on the last two years, and Clearing looks to be about the same size as a regular year. Adjustment is down substantially on the last two years.

International recruitment

Against many predictions, mine included, the number of international applicants holding places is up on this year for non-EU students. But numbers are down nearly 4,000 for EU students over this time last year.

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At universities the question will be – how many of these international applicants have paid their deposit on a course? We won’t know for sure how international recruitment has held up until the start of the courses.

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This dashboard lets you click on an individual country to see the trend over time – what is immediately obvious is that the long term trend of a growth in placed applicants from China has continued.

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